National Australia Bank Limited

Equity · Monthly series · EQ-NAB.ASX

Latest, October 2026

41.51 AUD

+6.0% from September 2026

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55.0335.8616.68November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 41.33 AUD, with an 80% interval of 29.30 AUD to 54.12 AUD.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202641.40 AUD37.09 AUD45.86 AUD
December 202641.47 AUD36.09 AUD47.04 AUD
January 202741.52 AUD34.82 AUD48.15 AUD
February 202741.53 AUD30.50 AUD52.68 AUD
March 202741.53 AUD28.74 AUD54.28 AUD
April 202741.52 AUD30.96 AUD52.43 AUD
May 202741.46 AUD30.42 AUD52.71 AUD
June 202741.43 AUD29.49 AUD53.87 AUD
July 202741.40 AUD32.76 AUD50.38 AUD
August 202741.39 AUD31.68 AUD51.46 AUD
September 202741.31 AUD28.34 AUD55.03 AUD
October 202741.33 AUD29.30 AUD54.12 AUD

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+1%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
55%No clear edge over a coin flip (79 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
30 of 64Anticipated some turns (64 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
1% lowerError ratio 0.99; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 95% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202641.51 AUD
September 202639.15 AUD
August 202638.63 AUD
July 202641.33 AUD
June 202637.86 AUD
May 202637.33 AUD
April 202639.88 AUD
March 202641.44 AUD
February 202649.02 AUD
January 202643.37 AUD
December 202542.31 AUD
November 202540.10 AUD
October 202543.62 AUD
September 202544.15 AUD
August 202542.79 AUD
July 202538.91 AUD
June 202539.36 AUD
May 202538.00 AUD
April 202536.13 AUD
March 202534.02 AUD
February 202535.30 AUD
January 202540.14 AUD
December 202437.10 AUD
November 202439.10 AUD

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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