United Arab Emirates CO2 Emissions

Name: United Arab Emirates CO2 Emissions
Creator: Agentic Investor

United Arab Emirates · Annual series · EC-AE-CO2E

Latest, 2024

200,560,000.0 pts

+4.1% from 2023

Open interactive chartUnited Arab Emirates CO2 Emissions in the app

History through 2024, the forecast path to 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2027: 203,878,304.0 pts, with an 80% interval of 146,803,174.7 pts to 266,091,465.6 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2025	202,023,264.0 pts	182,503,405.9 pts	224,665,827.5 pts
2026	202,449,216.0 pts	166,206,422.8 pts	245,106,667.5 pts
2027	203,878,304.0 pts	146,803,174.7 pts	266,091,465.6 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: +12%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
Direction: 81%Beats a coin flip (29 of 36 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (5 turns, 8 needed) (5 turns in 12 tests, 8 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 12% lowerError ratio 0.88; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 1989-12-01 to 2024-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 86%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2024-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 33% of the 9 earlier readings since 2015.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2024	200,560,000.0 pts
2023	192,700,000.0 pts
2022	218,800,000.0 pts
2021	214,450,000.0 pts
2020	201,000,000.0 pts
2019	199,288,853.8 pts
2018	187,917,028.4 pts
2017	208,686,108.6 pts
2016	212,560,270.8 pts
2015	207,640,000.0 pts
2014	197,236,888.0 pts
2013	195,609,010.4 pts
2012	186,055,300.0 pts
2011	176,419,118.9 pts
2010	172,122,785.4 pts
2009	165,511,267.5 pts
2008	164,399,763.6 pts
2007	137,305,161.1 pts
2006	127,331,107.3 pts
2005	122,380,000.0 pts
2004	115,126,825.4 pts
2003	108,917,780.7 pts
2002	103,613,402.3 pts
2001	101,337,467.6 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.