Australia Interest Rate
Australia · Monthly series · EC-AU-INTR
Latest, November 2026
4.8%
+0.25pp from September 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
That is the highest of the 101 readings since December 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| November 2026 | 4.8% |
| September 2026 | 4.6% |
| August 2026 | 4.3% |
| June 2026 | 4.3% |
| May 2026 | 4.3% |
| March 2026 | 4.1% |
| February 2026 | 3.9% |
| December 2025 | 3.6% |
| November 2025 | 3.6% |
| September 2025 | 3.6% |
| August 2025 | 3.6% |
| July 2025 | 3.9% |
| May 2025 | 3.9% |
| April 2025 | 4.1% |
| February 2025 | 4.1% |
| December 2024 | 4.3% |
| November 2024 | 4.3% |
| September 2024 | 4.3% |
| August 2024 | 4.3% |
| June 2024 | 4.3% |
| May 2024 | 4.3% |
| March 2024 | 4.3% |
| February 2024 | 4.3% |
| December 2023 | 4.3% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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