Germany GDP Growth Rate
Germany · Quarterly series · EC-DE-GDPQQ
Latest, Q2 2026
0.3%
-0.10pp from Q1 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q2 2027: 0.3%, with an 80% interval of -0.4% to 0.9%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3% | -0.3% | 0.8% |
| Q4 2026 | 0.3% | -0.4% | 0.9% |
| Q1 2027 | 0.2% | -0.4% | 0.9% |
| Q2 2027 | 0.3% | -0.4% | 0.9% |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare four classes, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 54% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0% |
| Q2 2025 | 0.0% |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1% |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1% |
| Q1 2024 | 0.2% |
| Q4 2023 | -0.3% |
| Q3 2023 | 0.2% |
| Q2 2023 | -0.1% |
| Q1 2023 | -0.7% |
| Q4 2022 | -0.3% |
| Q3 2022 | 0.3% |
| Q2 2022 | 0.1% |
| Q1 2022 | 0.8% |
| Q4 2021 | 0.5% |
| Q3 2021 | 0.2% |
| Q2 2021 | 2.3% |
| Q1 2021 | -0.5% |
| Q4 2020 | 0.8% |
| Q3 2020 | 8.8% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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