Spain Interbank Rate

Spain · Monthly series · EC-ES-INBR

Latest, April 2024

-0.4%

+0.00pp from March 2024

Open interactive chartSpain Interbank Rate in the app

0.28-0.05729-0.3946May 2014April 2025
History through April 2024, the forecast path to April 2025 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for April 2025: -0.4%, with an 80% interval of -0.4% to -0.4%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
May 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
June 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
July 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
August 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
September 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
October 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
November 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
December 2024-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
January 2025-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
February 2025-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
March 2025-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
April 2025-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 2% of the 119 earlier readings since May 2014.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
April 2024-0.4%
March 2024-0.4%
February 2024-0.4%
January 2024-0.4%
December 2023-0.4%
November 2023-0.4%
October 2023-0.4%
September 2023-0.4%
August 2023-0.4%
July 2023-0.4%
June 2023-0.4%
May 2023-0.4%
April 2023-0.4%
March 2023-0.4%
February 2023-0.4%
January 2023-0.4%
December 2022-0.4%
November 2022-0.4%
October 2022-0.4%
September 2022-0.4%
August 2022-0.4%
July 2022-0.4%
June 2022-0.4%
May 2022-0.4%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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