Spain Medical Doctors

Spain · Annual series · EC-ES-MD

Latest, 2021

4.8 pts

-2.2% from 2020

Open interactive chartSpain Medical Doctors in the app

5.2133.7272.2419902024
History through 2021, the forecast path to 2024 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2024: 4.7 pts, with an 80% interval of 4.2 pts to 5.2 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
20224.7 pts4.5 pts4.9 pts
20234.7 pts4.3 pts5.1 pts
20244.7 pts4.2 pts5.2 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 2 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (2 tests, 2 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (5 of 6 calls right in 2 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (2 turns in 2 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
16% lowerError ratio 0.84; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
2 / 2Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2016-12-01 to 2021-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
50%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 89% of the 9 earlier readings since 2012.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
20214.8 pts
20204.9 pts
20194.7 pts
20184.3 pts
20174.2 pts
20164.1 pts
20154.2 pts
20144.1 pts
20134.1 pts
20124.1 pts
20114.1 pts
20104.0 pts
20093.9 pts
20083.8 pts
20073.8 pts
20063.9 pts
20053.8 pts
20043.8 pts
20033.5 pts
20023.5 pts
20013.4 pts
20003.4 pts
19993.3 pts
19983.1 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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