AgenticInvestor

Hong Kong GDP From Services

Hong Kong · Quarterly series · EC-HK-GDPS

Latest, Q2 2026

757.28B HKD

-1.1% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartHong Kong GDP From Services in the app

965.1B637.5B309.9BQ1 2000Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 782.71B HKD, with an 80% interval of 638.02B HKD to 921.02B HKD.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 2026798.53B HKD781.63B HKD816.22B HKD
Q4 2026853.55B HKD747.01B HKD965.15B HKD
Q1 2027795.98B HKD657.65B HKD927.47B HKD
Q2 2027782.71B HKD638.02B HKD921.02B HKD

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+55%Beats the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 8 won)
Direction
88%Beats a coin flip (28 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
8 of 8Anticipated most turns (8 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
55% lowerError ratio 0.45; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
88%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 95% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 2026757.28B HKD
Q1 2026765.35B HKD
Q4 2025810.71B HKD
Q3 2025724.95B HKD
Q2 2025686.33B HKD
Q1 2025689.85B HKD
Q4 2024744.01B HKD
Q3 2024682.88B HKD
Q2 2024642.96B HKD
Q1 2024658.79B HKD
Q4 2023691.29B HKD
Q3 2023652.80B HKD
Q2 2023612.31B HKD
Q1 2023622.12B HKD
Q4 2022658.23B HKD
Q3 2022630.12B HKD
Q2 2022601.25B HKD
Q1 2022603.24B HKD
Q4 2021686.92B HKD
Q3 2021651.66B HKD
Q2 2021610.11B HKD
Q1 2021623.21B HKD
Q4 2020655.33B HKD
Q3 2020618.01B HKD

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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