Hungary GDP From Services
Hungary · Quarterly series · EC-HU-GDPS
Latest, Q2 2026
8.97T HUF
+0.5% from Q1 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q2 2027: 9.09T HUF, with an 80% interval of 7.53T HUF to 10.13T HUF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.99T HUF | 8.86T HUF | 9.12T HUF |
| Q4 2026 | 9.02T HUF | 8.68T HUF | 9.33T HUF |
| Q1 2027 | 9.05T HUF | 8.26T HUF | 9.71T HUF |
| Q2 2027 | 9.09T HUF | 7.53T HUF | 10.13T HUF |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- -7%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 4 won)
- Direction
- 44%No clear edge over a coin flip (14 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (3 turns, 8 needed) (3 turns in 8 tests, 4 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 7% higherError ratio 1.07; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 4 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-06-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 40 readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 8.97T HUF |
| Q1 2026 | 8.93T HUF |
| Q4 2025 | 8.85T HUF |
| Q3 2025 | 8.80T HUF |
| Q2 2025 | 8.77T HUF |
| Q1 2025 | 8.79T HUF |
| Q4 2024 | 8.81T HUF |
| Q3 2024 | 8.73T HUF |
| Q2 2024 | 8.68T HUF |
| Q1 2024 | 8.65T HUF |
| Q4 2023 | 6.37T HUF |
| Q3 2023 | 6.25T HUF |
| Q2 2023 | 6.31T HUF |
| Q1 2023 | 6.32T HUF |
| Q4 2022 | 6.42T HUF |
| Q3 2022 | 6.45T HUF |
| Q2 2022 | 6.49T HUF |
| Q1 2022 | 6.29T HUF |
| Q4 2021 | 6.17T HUF |
| Q3 2021 | 6.04T HUF |
| Q2 2021 | 5.83T HUF |
| Q1 2021 | 5.72T HUF |
| Q4 2020 | 5.59T HUF |
| Q3 2020 | 5.53T HUF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Hungary GDP From Services in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
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- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Hungary
- Hungary Asylum Applications
- Hungary Balance Of Trade
- Hungary Bank Lending Rate
- Hungary Banks Balance Sheet
- Hungary Building Permits
- Hungary Business Confidence Index
- Hungary CPI Transportation
- Hungary Capacity Utilization
- Hungary Capital Flows
- Hungary Car Registrations
- Hungary Cash Reserve Ratio
- Hungary Central Bank Balance Sheet