AgenticInvestor

Hungary Private Sector Credit

Hungary · Monthly series · EC-HU-PSC

Latest, September 2026

14.65T HUF

+1.5% from August 2026

Open interactive chartHungary Private Sector Credit in the app

18.81T12.25T5.688TOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 17.00T HUF, with an 80% interval of 15.17T HUF to 18.81T HUF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202614.91T HUF14.73T HUF15.12T HUF
November 202615.10T HUF14.86T HUF15.39T HUF
December 202615.28T HUF15.00T HUF15.58T HUF
January 202715.44T HUF14.98T HUF15.90T HUF
February 202715.62T HUF14.98T HUF16.28T HUF
March 202715.78T HUF15.02T HUF16.56T HUF
April 202715.96T HUF15.28T HUF16.62T HUF
May 202716.16T HUF15.51T HUF16.79T HUF
June 202716.37T HUF15.57T HUF17.14T HUF
July 202716.59T HUF15.41T HUF17.75T HUF
August 202716.80T HUF15.22T HUF18.39T HUF
September 202717.00T HUF15.17T HUF18.81T HUF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+40%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
85%Beats a coin flip (122 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
1 of 16Anticipated some turns (16 turns in 12 tests, 5 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
40% lowerError ratio 0.60; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202614.65T HUF
August 202614.44T HUF
July 202614.24T HUF
June 202613.99T HUF
May 202613.72T HUF
April 202613.49T HUF
March 202613.28T HUF
February 202613.03T HUF
January 202612.86T HUF
December 202512.70T HUF
November 202512.44T HUF
October 202512.23T HUF
September 202512.06T HUF
August 202511.96T HUF
July 202511.87T HUF
June 202511.73T HUF
May 202511.60T HUF
April 202511.46T HUF
March 202511.35T HUF
February 202511.24T HUF
January 202511.16T HUF
December 202411.10T HUF
November 202411.00T HUF
October 202410.94T HUF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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