AgenticInvestor

Indonesia Deposit Interest Rate

Indonesia · Monthly series · EC-ID-DIR

Latest, October 2026

5.0%

+0.25pp from September 2026

Open interactive chartIndonesia Deposit Interest Rate in the app

7.6955.2232.75November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 5.2%, with an 80% interval of 3.0% to 7.7%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20265.1%4.7%5.6%
December 20265.2%4.6%5.9%
January 20275.2%4.4%6.3%
February 20275.2%4.4%6.3%
March 20275.2%4.3%6.4%
April 20275.2%4.0%6.8%
May 20275.2%4.1%6.6%
June 20275.2%3.9%6.8%
July 20275.2%3.9%6.8%
August 20275.2%3.8%6.8%
September 20275.2%3.4%7.3%
October 20275.2%3.0%7.7%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+3%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
62%No clear edge over a coin flip (60 of 96 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (2 turns, 8 needed) (2 turns in 12 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% lowerError ratio 0.97; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 67% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20265.0%
September 20264.8%
August 20264.8%
July 20264.8%
June 20264.8%
May 20264.2%
April 20263.8%
March 20263.8%
February 20263.8%
January 20263.8%
December 20253.8%
November 20253.8%
October 20253.8%
September 20253.8%
August 20254.2%
July 20254.5%
June 20254.8%
May 20254.8%
April 20255.0%
March 20255.0%
February 20255.0%
January 20255.0%
December 20245.2%
November 20245.2%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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