AgenticInvestor

Indonesia Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Indonesia · Quarterly series · EC-ID-GFCF

Latest, Q3 2026

1,150.11T IDR

+5.6% from Q2 2026

Open interactive chartIndonesia Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the app

1264T664.2T63.97TQ1 2000Q3 2027
History through Q3 2026, the forecast path to Q3 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q3 2027: 1,202.77T IDR, with an 80% interval of 1,135.30T IDR to 1,264.37T IDR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q4 20261,182.46T IDR1,155.17T IDR1,208.64T IDR
Q1 20271,114.68T IDR1,075.42T IDR1,156.54T IDR
Q2 20271,147.14T IDR1,092.53T IDR1,195.54T IDR
Q3 20271,202.77T IDR1,135.30T IDR1,264.37T IDR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+30%Beats the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 8 won)
Direction
84%No clear edge over a coin flip (27 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
16 of 16Anticipated most turns (16 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
30% lowerError ratio 0.70; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-12-01 to 2026-09-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 40 readings since Q4 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q3 20261,150.11T IDR
Q2 20261,089.50T IDR
Q1 20261,037.70T IDR
Q4 20251,122.30T IDR
Q3 20251,084.36T IDR
Q2 20251,019.40T IDR
Q1 2025979.30T IDR
Q4 20241,057.53T IDR
Q3 20241,032.34T IDR
Q2 2024958.24T IDR
Q1 2024964.57T IDR
Q4 20231,013.62T IDR
Q3 2023988.21T IDR
Q2 2023917.57T IDR
Q1 2023929.32T IDR
Q4 2022965.19T IDR
Q3 2022934.10T IDR
Q2 2022876.86T IDR
Q1 2022910.20T IDR
Q4 2021934.10T IDR
Q3 2021890.23T IDR
Q2 2021850.84T IDR
Q1 2021874.34T IDR
Q4 2020894.09T IDR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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