Indonesia Money Supply M1

Indonesia · Monthly series · EC-ID-M1

Latest, September 2026

3,391.91T IDR

+1.7% from August 2026

Open interactive chartIndonesia Money Supply M1 in the app

4936T3039T1143TOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 3,703.26T IDR, with an 80% interval of 3,377.04T IDR to 4,491.92T IDR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 20263,469.10T IDR3,406.86T IDR3,544.28T IDR
November 20263,515.31T IDR3,309.27T IDR3,800.97T IDR
December 20263,568.00T IDR3,188.04T IDR4,129.11T IDR
January 20273,549.00T IDR3,258.55T IDR3,997.50T IDR
February 20273,550.85T IDR3,358.70T IDR3,863.84T IDR
March 20273,568.11T IDR3,317.34T IDR4,002.21T IDR
April 20273,589.18T IDR3,437.88T IDR3,890.97T IDR
May 20273,602.20T IDR3,419.45T IDR3,971.36T IDR
June 20273,623.28T IDR3,408.75T IDR4,117.20T IDR
July 20273,630.29T IDR3,324.16T IDR4,322.49T IDR
August 20273,657.99T IDR3,375.40T IDR4,341.25T IDR
September 20273,703.26T IDR3,377.04T IDR4,491.92T IDR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+15%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
84%Beats a coin flip (121 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
38 of 61Anticipated most turns (61 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
15% lowerError ratio 0.85; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 76% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20263,391.91T IDR
August 20263,333.82T IDR
July 20263,311.08T IDR
June 20263,318.34T IDR
May 20263,438.11T IDR
April 20263,342.54T IDR
March 20263,423.53T IDR
February 20263,340.67T IDR
January 20263,379.66T IDR
December 20253,386.92T IDR
November 20253,237.68T IDR
October 20253,105.23T IDR
September 20253,087.15T IDR
August 20253,054.65T IDR
July 20252,940.26T IDR
June 20252,955.11T IDR
May 20252,836.02T IDR
April 20252,803.83T IDR
March 20252,842.70T IDR
February 20252,774.90T IDR
January 20252,790.38T IDR
December 20242,839.54T IDR
November 20242,822.30T IDR
October 20242,697.74T IDR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Indonesia