India GDP YoY

India · Quarterly series · ECONOMICS:INGDPYY

Latest, Q2 2026

7.8%

-0.80pp from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartIndia GDP YoY in the terminal

Forecast

No forecast is cached this cycle.

AI confidence

No forecast yet

Evidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.

Reading

It is above 79% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20267.8%
Q1 20268.6%
Q4 20257.7%
Q3 20258.1%
Q2 20256.9%
Q1 20256.6%
Q4 20247.4%
Q3 20247.3%
Q2 20247.5%
Q1 20247.4%
Q4 20237.7%
Q3 20237.5%
Q2 20236.6%
Q1 20236.1%
Q4 20224.3%
Q3 20225.5%
Q2 202212.8%
Q1 20224.0%
Q4 20215.7%
Q3 20219.7%
Q2 202123.0%
Q1 20213.4%
Q4 20201.6%
Q3 2020-5.7%

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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