India GDP YoY
India · Quarterly series · ECONOMICS:INGDPYY
Latest, Q2 2026
7.8%
-0.80pp from Q1 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 79% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | 8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | 6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | 7.4% |
| Q3 2024 | 7.3% |
| Q2 2024 | 7.5% |
| Q1 2024 | 7.4% |
| Q4 2023 | 7.7% |
| Q3 2023 | 7.5% |
| Q2 2023 | 6.6% |
| Q1 2023 | 6.1% |
| Q4 2022 | 4.3% |
| Q3 2022 | 5.5% |
| Q2 2022 | 12.8% |
| Q1 2022 | 4.0% |
| Q4 2021 | 5.7% |
| Q3 2021 | 9.7% |
| Q2 2021 | 23.0% |
| Q1 2021 | 3.4% |
| Q4 2020 | 1.6% |
| Q3 2020 | -5.7% |
Source
Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.
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