Iran External Debt

At least 6 complete tests are required; 4 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive

n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (4 tests, 1 won)

Direction

n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (9 of 12 calls right in 4 tests)

Turning points

n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (3 turns in 4 tests, 0 without a turn)

Error vs baseline

100% higherError ratio 2.00; 1.00 is a tie.

Tests won

1 / 4Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.

Test period

2014-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.

80% band coverage

75%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

• Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
• Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-12-01.
• This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.