Iran Youth Unemployment Rate
Iran · Quarterly series · EC-IR-YUR
Latest, Q4 2024
20.2%
+0.80pp from Q3 2024
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 11% of the 37 earlier readings since Q1 2015.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | 20.2% |
| Q3 2024 | 19.4% |
| Q2 2024 | 20.0% |
| Q1 2024 | 22.5% |
| Q4 2023 | 20.6% |
| Q3 2023 | 20.1% |
| Q2 2023 | 21.6% |
| Q1 2023 | 24.2% |
| Q4 2022 | 19.2% |
| Q3 2022 | 23.0% |
| Q2 2022 | 24.0% |
| Q4 2021 | 23.6% |
| Q3 2021 | 25.7% |
| Q2 2021 | 22.1% |
| Q1 2021 | 23.6% |
| Q3 2020 | 23.1% |
| Q2 2020 | 24.5% |
| Q1 2020 | 26.0% |
| Q4 2019 | 25.8% |
| Q3 2019 | 26.1% |
| Q2 2019 | 26.5% |
| Q1 2019 | 27.7% |
| Q4 2018 | 27.0% |
| Q3 2018 | 27.2% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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