AgenticInvestor

Jamaica Central Bank Balance Sheet

Jamaica · Monthly series · EC-JM-CBBS

Latest, September 2026

1.55T JMD

+6.1% from August 2026

Open interactive chartJamaica Central Bank Balance Sheet in the app

1.86T1.219T578BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 1.59T JMD, with an 80% interval of 1.37T JMD to 1.86T JMD.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 20261.55T JMD1.49T JMD1.62T JMD
November 20261.55T JMD1.49T JMD1.62T JMD
December 20261.54T JMD1.50T JMD1.60T JMD
January 20271.56T JMD1.49T JMD1.64T JMD
February 20271.56T JMD1.49T JMD1.65T JMD
March 20271.57T JMD1.43T JMD1.75T JMD
April 20271.57T JMD1.42T JMD1.76T JMD
May 20271.57T JMD1.40T JMD1.79T JMD
June 20271.58T JMD1.42T JMD1.77T JMD
July 20271.58T JMD1.40T JMD1.81T JMD
August 20271.58T JMD1.40T JMD1.81T JMD
September 20271.59T JMD1.37T JMD1.86T JMD

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+4%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
59%No clear edge over a coin flip (85 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
19 of 65Anticipated some turns (65 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
4% lowerError ratio 0.96; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
85%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20261.55T JMD
August 20261.46T JMD
July 20261.47T JMD
June 20261.43T JMD
May 20261.44T JMD
April 20261.43T JMD
March 20261.50T JMD
February 20261.47T JMD
January 20261.46T JMD
December 20251.34T JMD
November 20251.32T JMD
October 20251.32T JMD
September 20251.33T JMD
August 20251.33T JMD
July 20251.32T JMD
June 20251.28T JMD
May 20251.28T JMD
April 20251.26T JMD
March 20251.25T JMD
February 20251.24T JMD
January 20251.24T JMD
December 20241.24T JMD
November 20241.23T JMD
October 20241.26T JMD

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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