AgenticNorth Korea GDP From Construction
North Korea · Annual series · EC-KP-GDPC
Latest, 2025
4.66T KPW
+6.3% from 2024
Forecast
Forecast for 2028: 4.94T KPW, with an 80% interval of 676.55B KPW to 8.81T KPW.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.81T KPW | 3.79T KPW | 5.92T KPW |
| 2027 | 4.89T KPW | 1.26T KPW | 8.32T KPW |
| 2028 | 4.94T KPW | 676.55B KPW | 8.81T KPW |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 2 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (9 of 15 calls right in 5 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (2 turns in 5 tests, 2 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 2 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2011-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-12-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.66T KPW |
| 2024 | 4.39T KPW |
| 2023 | 3.91T KPW |
| 2022 | 3.07T KPW |
| 2021 | 3.01T KPW |
| 2020 | 2.95T KPW |
| 2019 | 2.92T KPW |
| 2018 | 2.83T KPW |
| 2017 | 2.97T KPW |
| 2016 | 3.10T KPW |
| 2015 | 3.06T KPW |
| 2014 | 2.92T KPW |
| 2013 | 2.88T KPW |
| 2012 | 2.91T KPW |
| 2011 | 2.96T KPW |
| 2010 | 2.85T KPW |
| 2009 | 2.84T KPW |
| 2008 | 2.82T KPW |
| 2007 | 2.79T KPW |
| 2006 | 2.83T KPW |
| 2005 | 3.20T KPW |
| 2004 | 3.01T KPW |
| 2003 | 3.00T KPW |
| 2002 | 2.94T KPW |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open North Korea GDP From Construction in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for North Korea
- North Korea Balance Of Trade
- North Korea Car Production
- North Korea Cement Production
- North Korea Corruption Index
- North Korea Corruption Rank
- North Korea Employed Persons
- North Korea Employment Rate
- North Korea Exports
- North Korea GDP From Agriculture
- North Korea GDP From Manufacturing
- North Korea GDP From Mining
- North Korea GDP From Public Administration