South Korea GDP YoY
South Korea · Quarterly series · ECONOMICS:KRGDPYY
Latest, Q3 2026
3.4%
-0.30pp from Q2 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 72% of the 39 earlier readings since Q4 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | 3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0% |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4% |
| Q2 2024 | 2.2% |
| Q1 2024 | 3.4% |
| Q4 2023 | 2.1% |
| Q3 2023 | 1.4% |
| Q2 2023 | 1.0% |
| Q1 2023 | 1.1% |
| Q4 2022 | 1.1% |
| Q3 2022 | 3.4% |
| Q2 2022 | 3.0% |
| Q1 2022 | 3.5% |
| Q4 2021 | 4.3% |
| Q3 2021 | 4.6% |
| Q2 2021 | 7.0% |
| Q1 2021 | 2.5% |
| Q4 2020 | -0.5% |
Source
Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.
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