Lebanon Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Name: Lebanon Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Creator: Agentic Investor

Lebanon · Annual series · EC-LB-GFCF

Latest, 2024

123.03B LBP

-31.6% from 2023

Open interactive chartLebanon Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the app

History through 2024, the forecast path to 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2027: 328.41B LBP, with an 80% interval of -793.89B LBP to 13.00T LBP.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2025	279.58B LBP	-1.31T LBP	5.37T LBP
2026	264.99B LBP	-913.85B LBP	10.50T LBP
2027	328.41B LBP	-793.89B LBP	13.00T LBP

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 2 won)
Direction: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (8 of 15 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (7 turns in 5 tests, 1 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 13% higherError ratio 1.13; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 2 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 2010-12-01 to 2024-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 87%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2024-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 10 readings since 2015.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2024	123.03B LBP
2023	179.95B LBP
2022	172.27B LBP
2021	1.51T LBP
2020	4.66T LBP
2019	9.92T LBP
2018	18.20T LBP
2017	16.80T LBP
2016	17.02T LBP
2015	15.08T LBP
2014	15.62T LBP
2013	16.48T LBP
2012	14.99T LBP
2011	14.36T LBP
2010	14.51T LBP
2009	14.50T LBP
2008	11.27T LBP
2007	9.28T LBP
2006	7.72T LBP
2005	7.72T LBP
2004	7.66T LBP
2003	7.15T LBP
2002	6.86T LBP
2001	6.79T LBP

Source

Data: public market data feeds.