AgenticInvestor

Lesotho Inflation Rate YoY

Lesotho · Monthly series · EC-LS-IRYY

Latest, August 2026

2.6%

-0.32pp from July 2026

Open interactive chartLesotho Inflation Rate YoY in the app

9.834.9320.03491September 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 3.4%, with an 80% interval of 2.4% to 4.5%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 20262.5%2.1%3.0%
October 20262.6%1.5%3.7%
November 20262.6%1.1%4.2%
December 20262.7%1.2%4.3%
January 20272.8%0.0%5.5%
February 20272.9%0.4%5.6%
March 20273.0%0.5%5.6%
April 20273.1%0.4%5.8%
May 20273.1%0.9%5.3%
June 20273.2%1.8%4.6%
July 20273.3%2.2%4.4%
August 20273.4%2.4%4.5%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+16%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
72%No clear edge over a coin flip (103 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
11 of 46Anticipated some turns (46 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
16% lowerError ratio 0.84; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 1% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 20262.6%
July 20262.9%
June 20263.7%
May 20263.5%
April 20263.1%
March 20262.2%
February 20262.7%
January 20263.4%
December 20254.1%
November 20254.3%
October 20254.5%
September 20254.7%
August 20254.6%
July 20254.5%
June 20254.3%
May 20254.4%
April 20254.0%
March 20254.2%
February 20254.1%
January 20253.6%
December 20243.7%
November 20244.4%
October 20244.7%
September 20245.2%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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