Lithuania Central Bank Balance Sheet

Lithuania · Monthly series · EC-LT-CBBS

Latest, September 2026

34.66B EUR

+0.1% from August 2026

Open interactive chartLithuania Central Bank Balance Sheet in the app

44.56B28.54B12.52BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 35.54B EUR, with an 80% interval of 27.28B EUR to 44.56B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202634.66B EUR32.58B EUR36.87B EUR
November 202634.68B EUR31.01B EUR38.64B EUR
December 202634.83B EUR30.86B EUR39.00B EUR
January 202735.00B EUR30.62B EUR39.55B EUR
February 202735.11B EUR30.44B EUR40.00B EUR
March 202735.23B EUR30.37B EUR40.34B EUR
April 202735.31B EUR30.09B EUR40.83B EUR
May 202735.30B EUR28.47B EUR42.46B EUR
June 202735.38B EUR27.94B EUR43.32B EUR
July 202735.48B EUR28.30B EUR43.24B EUR
August 202735.57B EUR28.51B EUR43.18B EUR
September 202735.54B EUR27.28B EUR44.56B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-3%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 4 won)
Direction
49%No clear edge over a coin flip (70 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
25 of 67Anticipated some turns (67 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 92% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202634.66B EUR
August 202634.63B EUR
July 202635.46B EUR
June 202635.10B EUR
May 202635.55B EUR
April 202633.28B EUR
March 202631.66B EUR
February 202630.50B EUR
January 202628.76B EUR
December 202528.73B EUR
November 202526.05B EUR
October 202526.68B EUR
September 202527.88B EUR
August 202526.74B EUR
July 202527.74B EUR
June 202527.61B EUR
May 202527.57B EUR
April 202530.86B EUR
March 202531.29B EUR
February 202532.10B EUR
January 202532.81B EUR
December 202431.99B EUR
November 202430.25B EUR
October 202428.88B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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