Lithuania Central Bank Balance Sheet
Lithuania · Monthly series · EC-LT-CBBS
Latest, September 2026
34.66B EUR
+0.1% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 35.54B EUR, with an 80% interval of 27.28B EUR to 44.56B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 34.66B EUR | 32.58B EUR | 36.87B EUR |
| November 2026 | 34.68B EUR | 31.01B EUR | 38.64B EUR |
| December 2026 | 34.83B EUR | 30.86B EUR | 39.00B EUR |
| January 2027 | 35.00B EUR | 30.62B EUR | 39.55B EUR |
| February 2027 | 35.11B EUR | 30.44B EUR | 40.00B EUR |
| March 2027 | 35.23B EUR | 30.37B EUR | 40.34B EUR |
| April 2027 | 35.31B EUR | 30.09B EUR | 40.83B EUR |
| May 2027 | 35.30B EUR | 28.47B EUR | 42.46B EUR |
| June 2027 | 35.38B EUR | 27.94B EUR | 43.32B EUR |
| July 2027 | 35.48B EUR | 28.30B EUR | 43.24B EUR |
| August 2027 | 35.57B EUR | 28.51B EUR | 43.18B EUR |
| September 2027 | 35.54B EUR | 27.28B EUR | 44.56B EUR |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- -3%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 4 won)
- Direction
- 49%No clear edge over a coin flip (70 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 25 of 67Anticipated some turns (67 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 4 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 92% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 34.66B EUR |
| August 2026 | 34.63B EUR |
| July 2026 | 35.46B EUR |
| June 2026 | 35.10B EUR |
| May 2026 | 35.55B EUR |
| April 2026 | 33.28B EUR |
| March 2026 | 31.66B EUR |
| February 2026 | 30.50B EUR |
| January 2026 | 28.76B EUR |
| December 2025 | 28.73B EUR |
| November 2025 | 26.05B EUR |
| October 2025 | 26.68B EUR |
| September 2025 | 27.88B EUR |
| August 2025 | 26.74B EUR |
| July 2025 | 27.74B EUR |
| June 2025 | 27.61B EUR |
| May 2025 | 27.57B EUR |
| April 2025 | 30.86B EUR |
| March 2025 | 31.29B EUR |
| February 2025 | 32.10B EUR |
| January 2025 | 32.81B EUR |
| December 2024 | 31.99B EUR |
| November 2024 | 30.25B EUR |
| October 2024 | 28.88B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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