AgenticInvestor

Luxembourg Loans To Private Sector

Luxembourg · Monthly series · EC-LU-LPS

Latest, September 2026

22.73B EUR

+1.5% from August 2026

Open interactive chartLuxembourg Loans To Private Sector in the app

30.6B24.91B19.22BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 22.44B EUR, with an 80% interval of 19.22B EUR to 25.43B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202622.71B EUR21.91B EUR23.49B EUR
November 202622.67B EUR21.42B EUR23.83B EUR
December 202622.65B EUR21.86B EUR23.36B EUR
January 202722.62B EUR21.55B EUR23.57B EUR
February 202722.59B EUR21.33B EUR23.71B EUR
March 202722.57B EUR21.01B EUR23.97B EUR
April 202722.54B EUR20.51B EUR24.42B EUR
May 202722.52B EUR19.90B EUR24.89B EUR
June 202722.49B EUR19.86B EUR24.95B EUR
July 202722.47B EUR19.75B EUR25.05B EUR
August 202722.46B EUR19.61B EUR25.11B EUR
September 202722.44B EUR19.22B EUR25.43B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+13%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
59%No clear edge over a coin flip (85 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
10 of 63Anticipated some turns (63 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
13% lowerError ratio 0.87; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 13% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202622.73B EUR
August 202622.39B EUR
July 202622.57B EUR
June 202622.52B EUR
May 202622.40B EUR
April 202622.58B EUR
March 202623.18B EUR
February 202622.83B EUR
January 202622.74B EUR
December 202522.99B EUR
November 202523.48B EUR
October 202523.87B EUR
September 202523.68B EUR
August 202523.88B EUR
July 202523.04B EUR
June 202522.69B EUR
May 202522.03B EUR
April 202522.14B EUR
March 202523.40B EUR
February 202523.36B EUR
January 202523.89B EUR
December 202424.08B EUR
November 202424.62B EUR
October 202425.07B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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