Libya Imports

Libya · Annual series · EC-LY-IMP

Latest, 2025

148.71B LYD

+22.6% from 2024

Open interactive chartLibya Imports in the app

513.1B136.4B-240.4B19902028
History through 2025, the forecast path to 2028 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2028: 159.20B LYD, with an 80% interval of -144.65B LYD to 447.12B LYD.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
2026156.29B LYD30.27B LYD257.17B LYD
2027158.10B LYD-240.41B LYD513.12B LYD
2028159.20B LYD-144.65B LYD447.12B LYD

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 2 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (6 of 15 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (3 turns in 5 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% higherError ratio 1.03; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
2 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2011-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
2025148.71B LYD
2024121.29B LYD
2023111.50B LYD
202294.39B LYD
202176.31B LYD
202012.41B LYD
201915.54B LYD
201818.24B LYD
201714.67B LYD
201612.05B LYD
201522.68B LYD
201438.63B LYD
201343.24B LYD
201232.24B LYD
201113.66B LYD
201031.88B LYD
200927.50B LYD
200825.94B LYD
200721.70B LYD
200616.66B LYD
200515.68B LYD
200413.11B LYD
20039.39B LYD
20029.49B LYD

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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