Morocco Banks Balance Sheet
Morocco · Monthly series · EC-MA-BBS
Latest, September 2026
2.20T MAD
+1.4% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 2.33T MAD, with an 80% interval of 2.23T MAD to 2.44T MAD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2.20T MAD | 2.18T MAD | 2.22T MAD |
| November 2026 | 2.21T MAD | 2.17T MAD | 2.24T MAD |
| December 2026 | 2.25T MAD | 2.19T MAD | 2.31T MAD |
| January 2027 | 2.23T MAD | 2.18T MAD | 2.29T MAD |
| February 2027 | 2.24T MAD | 2.17T MAD | 2.31T MAD |
| March 2027 | 2.27T MAD | 2.18T MAD | 2.36T MAD |
| April 2027 | 2.27T MAD | 2.22T MAD | 2.31T MAD |
| May 2027 | 2.27T MAD | 2.21T MAD | 2.34T MAD |
| June 2027 | 2.32T MAD | 2.22T MAD | 2.42T MAD |
| July 2027 | 2.31T MAD | 2.24T MAD | 2.39T MAD |
| August 2027 | 2.32T MAD | 2.18T MAD | 2.45T MAD |
| September 2027 | 2.33T MAD | 2.23T MAD | 2.44T MAD |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +54%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (136 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 53 of 75Anticipated most turns (75 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 54% lowerError ratio 0.46; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.20T MAD |
| August 2026 | 2.17T MAD |
| July 2026 | 2.17T MAD |
| June 2026 | 2.16T MAD |
| May 2026 | 2.12T MAD |
| April 2026 | 2.10T MAD |
| March 2026 | 2.11T MAD |
| February 2026 | 2.10T MAD |
| January 2026 | 2.07T MAD |
| December 2025 | 2.10T MAD |
| November 2025 | 2.01T MAD |
| October 2025 | 2.00T MAD |
| September 2025 | 2.01T MAD |
| August 2025 | 1.98T MAD |
| July 2025 | 1.99T MAD |
| June 2025 | 1.99T MAD |
| May 2025 | 1.93T MAD |
| April 2025 | 1.95T MAD |
| March 2025 | 1.96T MAD |
| February 2025 | 1.92T MAD |
| January 2025 | 1.92T MAD |
| December 2024 | 1.96T MAD |
| November 2024 | 1.91T MAD |
| October 2024 | 1.89T MAD |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Morocco Banks Balance Sheet in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Morocco
- Morocco Balance Of Trade
- Morocco CPI Housing Utilities
- Morocco CPI Transportation
- Morocco Capital Flows
- Morocco Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Morocco Changes In Inventories
- Morocco Consumer Confidence Index
- Morocco Consumer Price Index
- Morocco Consumer Spending
- Morocco Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Morocco Corporate Tax Rate
- Morocco Corruption Index