AgenticInvestor

Moldova Deposit Interest Rate

Moldova · Monthly series · EC-MD-DIR

Latest, October 2026

7.0%

+0.00pp from September 2026

Open interactive chartMoldova Deposit Interest Rate in the app

27.3210.09-7.143November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 5.5%, with an 80% interval of -5.6% to 25.4%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20267.2%6.5%8.2%
December 20267.5%6.0%9.3%
January 20277.7%4.9%11.7%
February 20277.9%4.0%12.8%
March 20277.9%1.8%15.0%
April 20277.9%1.4%15.1%
May 20277.7%-2.1%18.8%
June 20277.3%-4.1%20.7%
July 20276.9%-6.7%24.8%
August 20276.4%-6.1%25.1%
September 20276.0%-7.1%27.3%
October 20275.5%-5.6%25.4%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+14%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
71%No clear edge over a coin flip (85 of 120 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (5 turns, 8 needed) (5 turns in 12 tests, 4 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
14% lowerError ratio 0.86; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 86% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20267.0%
September 20267.0%
August 20265.5%
July 20265.0%
June 20265.0%
May 20264.5%
April 20263.0%
March 20263.0%
February 20263.0%
January 20263.0%
December 20253.0%
November 20254.0%
October 20254.0%
September 20254.0%
August 20254.2%
July 20254.5%
June 20254.5%
May 20254.5%
April 20254.5%
March 20254.5%
February 20254.5%
January 20253.6%
December 20241.6%
November 20241.6%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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