Moldova Money Supply M0
Moldova · Monthly series · EC-MD-M0
Latest, December 2025
50.14B MDL
+2.8% from November 2025
Forecast
Forecast for December 2026: 53.38B MDL, with an 80% interval of 48.06B MDL to 58.61B MDL.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | 49.75B MDL | 49.24B MDL | 50.28B MDL |
| February 2026 | 49.84B MDL | 48.65B MDL | 51.06B MDL |
| March 2026 | 50.03B MDL | 48.93B MDL | 51.15B MDL |
| April 2026 | 50.52B MDL | 48.30B MDL | 52.66B MDL |
| May 2026 | 50.81B MDL | 48.32B MDL | 53.26B MDL |
| June 2026 | 51.34B MDL | 48.93B MDL | 53.65B MDL |
| July 2026 | 52.10B MDL | 49.09B MDL | 55.02B MDL |
| August 2026 | 52.29B MDL | 48.33B MDL | 56.08B MDL |
| September 2026 | 52.31B MDL | 48.59B MDL | 55.92B MDL |
| October 2026 | 52.43B MDL | 48.39B MDL | 56.37B MDL |
| November 2026 | 52.61B MDL | 48.03B MDL | 57.07B MDL |
| December 2026 | 53.38B MDL | 48.06B MDL | 58.61B MDL |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +20%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 74%No clear edge over a coin flip (106 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 27 of 48Anticipated most turns (48 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 20% lowerError ratio 0.80; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-01-01 to 2025-12-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-12-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since January 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| December 2025 | 50.14B MDL |
| November 2025 | 48.78B MDL |
| October 2025 | 48.39B MDL |
| September 2025 | 47.79B MDL |
| August 2025 | 47.98B MDL |
| July 2025 | 47.60B MDL |
| June 2025 | 46.56B MDL |
| May 2025 | 46.04B MDL |
| April 2025 | 45.40B MDL |
| March 2025 | 44.31B MDL |
| February 2025 | 44.12B MDL |
| January 2025 | 43.55B MDL |
| December 2024 | 44.18B MDL |
| November 2024 | 43.33B MDL |
| October 2024 | 43.17B MDL |
| September 2024 | 42.58B MDL |
| August 2024 | 42.36B MDL |
| July 2024 | 41.32B MDL |
| June 2024 | 40.48B MDL |
| May 2024 | 39.33B MDL |
| April 2024 | 38.77B MDL |
| March 2024 | 38.49B MDL |
| February 2024 | 38.15B MDL |
| January 2024 | 37.83B MDL |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Moldova
- Moldova Balance Of Trade
- Moldova Capital Flows
- Moldova Cash Reserve Ratio
- Moldova Central Bank Lending Rate
- Moldova Changes In Inventories
- Moldova Consumer Price Index
- Moldova Consumer Spending
- Moldova Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Moldova Corporate Tax Rate
- Moldova Corruption Index
- Moldova Corruption Rank
- Moldova Current Account