Moldova Money Supply M2
Moldova · Monthly series · EC-MD-M2
Latest, September 2026
151.35B MDL
-1.1% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 152.57B MDL, with an 80% interval of 117.34B MDL to 180.24B MDL.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 151.98B MDL | 150.42B MDL | 153.63B MDL |
| November 2026 | 151.41B MDL | 146.07B MDL | 156.78B MDL |
| December 2026 | 153.33B MDL | 143.82B MDL | 162.43B MDL |
| January 2027 | 151.81B MDL | 141.23B MDL | 160.63B MDL |
| February 2027 | 151.64B MDL | 136.67B MDL | 163.58B MDL |
| March 2027 | 150.67B MDL | 130.80B MDL | 166.85B MDL |
| April 2027 | 151.20B MDL | 129.43B MDL | 168.49B MDL |
| May 2027 | 151.57B MDL | 127.54B MDL | 170.13B MDL |
| June 2027 | 152.69B MDL | 128.27B MDL | 171.98B MDL |
| July 2027 | 153.56B MDL | 127.20B MDL | 174.63B MDL |
| August 2027 | 153.35B MDL | 122.53B MDL | 177.50B MDL |
| September 2027 | 152.57B MDL | 117.34B MDL | 180.24B MDL |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +26%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 76%No clear edge over a coin flip (110 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 27 of 50Anticipated most turns (50 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 26% lowerError ratio 0.74; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 151.35B MDL |
| August 2026 | 153.02B MDL |
| July 2026 | 152.82B MDL |
| June 2026 | 151.67B MDL |
| May 2026 | 150.44B MDL |
| April 2026 | 148.80B MDL |
| March 2026 | 146.50B MDL |
| February 2026 | 145.78B MDL |
| January 2026 | 143.78B MDL |
| December 2025 | 144.60B MDL |
| November 2025 | 138.33B MDL |
| October 2025 | 137.17B MDL |
| September 2025 | 136.12B MDL |
| August 2025 | 135.53B MDL |
| July 2025 | 135.08B MDL |
| June 2025 | 133.48B MDL |
| May 2025 | 132.34B MDL |
| April 2025 | 130.76B MDL |
| March 2025 | 128.25B MDL |
| February 2025 | 128.51B MDL |
| January 2025 | 126.24B MDL |
| December 2024 | 126.18B MDL |
| November 2024 | 122.54B MDL |
| October 2024 | 123.96B MDL |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Moldova
- Moldova Balance Of Trade
- Moldova Capital Flows
- Moldova Cash Reserve Ratio
- Moldova Central Bank Lending Rate
- Moldova Changes In Inventories
- Moldova Consumer Price Index
- Moldova Consumer Spending
- Moldova Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Moldova Corporate Tax Rate
- Moldova Corruption Index
- Moldova Corruption Rank
- Moldova Current Account