Moldova Money Supply M2

Moldova · Monthly series · EC-MD-M2

Latest, September 2026

151.35B MDL

-1.1% from August 2026

Open interactive chartMoldova Money Supply M2 in the app

180.2B112.8B45.26BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 152.57B MDL, with an 80% interval of 117.34B MDL to 180.24B MDL.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026151.98B MDL150.42B MDL153.63B MDL
November 2026151.41B MDL146.07B MDL156.78B MDL
December 2026153.33B MDL143.82B MDL162.43B MDL
January 2027151.81B MDL141.23B MDL160.63B MDL
February 2027151.64B MDL136.67B MDL163.58B MDL
March 2027150.67B MDL130.80B MDL166.85B MDL
April 2027151.20B MDL129.43B MDL168.49B MDL
May 2027151.57B MDL127.54B MDL170.13B MDL
June 2027152.69B MDL128.27B MDL171.98B MDL
July 2027153.56B MDL127.20B MDL174.63B MDL
August 2027153.35B MDL122.53B MDL177.50B MDL
September 2027152.57B MDL117.34B MDL180.24B MDL

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+26%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
76%No clear edge over a coin flip (110 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
27 of 50Anticipated most turns (50 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
26% lowerError ratio 0.74; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026151.35B MDL
August 2026153.02B MDL
July 2026152.82B MDL
June 2026151.67B MDL
May 2026150.44B MDL
April 2026148.80B MDL
March 2026146.50B MDL
February 2026145.78B MDL
January 2026143.78B MDL
December 2025144.60B MDL
November 2025138.33B MDL
October 2025137.17B MDL
September 2025136.12B MDL
August 2025135.53B MDL
July 2025135.08B MDL
June 2025133.48B MDL
May 2025132.34B MDL
April 2025130.76B MDL
March 2025128.25B MDL
February 2025128.51B MDL
January 2025126.24B MDL
December 2024126.18B MDL
November 2024122.54B MDL
October 2024123.96B MDL

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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