AgenticInvestor

Madagascar Inflation Rate YoY

Madagascar · Monthly series · EC-MG-IRYY

Latest, March 2026

6.8%

+0.14pp from February 2026

Open interactive chartMadagascar Inflation Rate YoY in the app

13.758.7953.84April 2016March 2027
History through March 2026, the forecast path to March 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for March 2027: 7.9%, with an 80% interval of 4.4% to 13.7%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
April 20266.9%6.3%7.9%
May 20267.1%6.2%8.5%
June 20267.1%6.1%8.8%
July 20267.3%6.7%8.2%
August 20267.4%6.6%8.6%
September 20267.4%6.4%9.1%
October 20267.3%6.4%8.7%
November 20267.4%5.5%10.2%
December 20267.6%5.8%10.5%
January 20277.8%5.1%12.1%
February 20277.9%5.8%11.4%
March 20277.9%4.4%13.7%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+17%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
71%No clear edge over a coin flip (102 of 143 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
10 of 42Anticipated some turns (42 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
17% lowerError ratio 0.83; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-04-01 to 2026-03-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 46% of the 119 earlier readings since April 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
March 20266.8%
February 20266.6%
January 20266.2%
December 20257.2%
November 20257.2%
October 20257.5%
September 20257.5%
August 20257.7%
July 20258.0%
June 20258.3%
May 20258.1%
April 20258.2%
March 20258.4%
February 20259.2%
January 20259.5%
December 20248.6%
November 20248.2%
October 20247.9%
September 20247.8%
August 20247.8%
July 20247.5%
June 20247.2%
May 20247.3%
April 20247.3%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Madagascar