Myanmar Deposit Interest Rate

Name: Myanmar Deposit Interest Rate
Creator: Agentic Investor

Myanmar · Annual series · EC-MM-DIR

Latest, 2020

5.8%

-2.17pp from 2019

Open interactive chartMyanmar Deposit Interest Rate in the app

History through 2020, the forecast path to 2023 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2023: 5.4%, with an 80% interval of -2.5% to 9.1%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2021	5.7%	2.0%	6.5%
2022	5.6%	0.9%	6.9%
2023	5.4%	-2.5%	9.1%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Weak evidence

The serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: -10%Trails the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 4 won)
Direction: 67%No clear edge over a coin flip (8 of 12 calls right in 6 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (0 turns, 8 needed) (0 turns in 8 tests, 6 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 10% higherError ratio 1.10; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 4 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 1997-12-01 to 2020-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 75%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2020-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 10 readings since 2011.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2020	5.8%
2019	8.0%
2018	8.0%
2017	8.0%
2016	8.0%
2015	8.0%
2014	8.0%
2013	8.0%
2012	8.0%
2011	11.3%
2010	12.0%
2009	12.0%
2008	12.0%
2007	12.0%
2006	11.4%
2005	9.5%
2004	9.5%
2003	9.5%
2002	9.5%
2001	9.5%
2000	9.8%
1999	11.0%
1998	12.5%
1997	12.5%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.