Macau Capital Flows
Macau · Annual series · EC-MO-CF
Latest, 2025
19.99B MOP
-1.8% from 2024
Forecast
Forecast for 2028: 14.35B MOP, with an 80% interval of 313.74M MOP to 28.52B MOP.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17.55B MOP | 8.02B MOP | 24.01B MOP |
| 2027 | 15.42B MOP | 3.06B MOP | 26.50B MOP |
| 2028 | 14.35B MOP | 313.74M MOP | 28.52B MOP |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 89% of the 9 earlier readings since 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 19.99B MOP |
| 2024 | 20.36B MOP |
| 2023 | 10.46B MOP |
| 2022 | -3.37B MOP |
| 2021 | -3.59B MOP |
| 2020 | 4.26B MOP |
| 2019 | 12.38B MOP |
| 2018 | 11.31B MOP |
| 2017 | 14.71B MOP |
| 2016 | 10.40B MOP |
| 2015 | 6.07B MOP |
| 2014 | 11.72B MOP |
| 2013 | 17.68B MOP |
| 2012 | 18.73B MOP |
| 2011 | 12.53B MOP |
| 2010 | 6.81B MOP |
| 2009 | 5.40B MOP |
| 2008 | -1.07B MOP |
| 2007 | -2.74B MOP |
| 2006 | 3.36B MOP |
| 2005 | 1.45B MOP |
| 2004 | 2.91B MOP |
| 2003 | 2.44B MOP |
| 2002 | 1.55B MOP |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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