Mauritius Tourism Revenues
Mauritius · Monthly series · EC-MU-TR
Latest, September 2026
9.05B MUR
-5.6% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 9.55B MUR, with an 80% interval of 6.91B MUR to 11.82B MUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 10.58B MUR | 9.32B MUR | 11.90B MUR |
| November 2026 | 11.68B MUR | 10.41B MUR | 13.03B MUR |
| December 2026 | 12.58B MUR | 10.87B MUR | 14.24B MUR |
| January 2027 | 11.76B MUR | 9.79B MUR | 13.78B MUR |
| February 2027 | 9.84B MUR | 8.16B MUR | 11.50B MUR |
| March 2027 | 10.23B MUR | 8.71B MUR | 11.63B MUR |
| April 2027 | 10.07B MUR | 7.54B MUR | 12.36B MUR |
| May 2027 | 9.69B MUR | 7.50B MUR | 11.75B MUR |
| June 2027 | 8.68B MUR | 7.28B MUR | 9.94B MUR |
| July 2027 | 9.57B MUR | 7.10B MUR | 11.72B MUR |
| August 2027 | 9.82B MUR | 7.64B MUR | 11.68B MUR |
| September 2027 | 9.55B MUR | 6.91B MUR | 11.82B MUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +34%Beats the no-change baseline over 9 tests (9 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 84%Beats a coin flip (91 of 108 calls right in 9 tests)
- Turning points
- 34 of 48Anticipated most turns (48 turns in 9 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 34% lowerError ratio 0.66; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 9Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2017-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 90% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 9.05B MUR |
| August 2026 | 9.59B MUR |
| July 2026 | 9.10B MUR |
| June 2026 | 7.77B MUR |
| May 2026 | 8.64B MUR |
| April 2026 | 9.29B MUR |
| March 2026 | 9.56B MUR |
| February 2026 | 9.34B MUR |
| January 2026 | 11.29B MUR |
| December 2025 | 12.13B MUR |
| November 2025 | 10.04B MUR |
| October 2025 | 10.13B MUR |
| September 2025 | 8.04B MUR |
| August 2025 | 7.77B MUR |
| July 2025 | 7.85B MUR |
| June 2025 | 6.96B MUR |
| May 2025 | 8.25B MUR |
| April 2025 | 8.61B MUR |
| March 2025 | 7.79B MUR |
| February 2025 | 7.24B MUR |
| January 2025 | 8.55B MUR |
| December 2024 | 10.32B MUR |
| November 2024 | 9.48B MUR |
| October 2024 | 8.39B MUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Mauritius
- Mauritius Balance Of Trade
- Mauritius Bank Lending Rate
- Mauritius Banks Balance Sheet
- Mauritius Business Confidence Index
- Mauritius CPI Housing Utilities
- Mauritius CPI Transportation
- Mauritius Capital Flows
- Mauritius Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Mauritius Central Bank Lending Rate
- Mauritius Changes In Inventories
- Mauritius Consumer Price Index
- Mauritius Consumer Spending