Mexico Money Supply M2
Mexico · Monthly series · EC-MX-M2
Latest, August 2026
17.58T MXN
+0.6% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 18.79T MXN, with an 80% interval of 17.54T MXN to 19.66T MXN.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 17.71T MXN | 17.40T MXN | 18.02T MXN |
| October 2026 | 17.80T MXN | 17.59T MXN | 18.02T MXN |
| November 2026 | 17.92T MXN | 17.50T MXN | 18.35T MXN |
| December 2026 | 18.06T MXN | 17.70T MXN | 18.40T MXN |
| January 2027 | 18.14T MXN | 17.68T MXN | 18.55T MXN |
| February 2027 | 18.22T MXN | 17.83T MXN | 18.57T MXN |
| March 2027 | 18.30T MXN | 17.57T MXN | 18.91T MXN |
| April 2027 | 18.40T MXN | 17.41T MXN | 19.20T MXN |
| May 2027 | 18.52T MXN | 17.52T MXN | 19.32T MXN |
| June 2027 | 18.62T MXN | 17.68T MXN | 19.35T MXN |
| July 2027 | 18.72T MXN | 17.80T MXN | 19.39T MXN |
| August 2027 | 18.79T MXN | 17.54T MXN | 19.66T MXN |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +64%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (135 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 2 of 37Anticipated some turns (37 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 64% lowerError ratio 0.36; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 17.58T MXN |
| July 2026 | 17.48T MXN |
| June 2026 | 17.35T MXN |
| May 2026 | 17.38T MXN |
| April 2026 | 17.17T MXN |
| March 2026 | 17.00T MXN |
| February 2026 | 16.92T MXN |
| January 2026 | 16.65T MXN |
| December 2025 | 16.92T MXN |
| November 2025 | 16.61T MXN |
| October 2025 | 16.37T MXN |
| September 2025 | 16.27T MXN |
| August 2025 | 16.25T MXN |
| July 2025 | 16.12T MXN |
| June 2025 | 16.12T MXN |
| May 2025 | 16.04T MXN |
| April 2025 | 15.89T MXN |
| March 2025 | 15.76T MXN |
| February 2025 | 15.69T MXN |
| January 2025 | 15.47T MXN |
| December 2024 | 15.56T MXN |
| November 2024 | 15.37T MXN |
| October 2024 | 14.97T MXN |
| September 2024 | 14.87T MXN |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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