Mexico Productivity

Mexico · Monthly series · EC-MX-PROD

Latest, August 2026

97.5 pts

-3.0% from July 2026

Open interactive chartMexico Productivity in the app

109.697.184.6August 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 96.6 pts, with an 80% interval of 92.9 pts to 100.5 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202696.0 pts93.4 pts99.0 pts
October 202699.3 pts96.0 pts102.5 pts
November 202694.0 pts91.0 pts97.4 pts
December 202689.8 pts86.6 pts94.3 pts
January 202794.8 pts91.3 pts98.4 pts
February 202790.9 pts87.9 pts95.0 pts
March 202794.7 pts91.5 pts98.3 pts
April 202795.0 pts91.6 pts98.7 pts
May 202795.9 pts92.6 pts99.8 pts
June 202795.4 pts92.0 pts99.3 pts
July 202798.0 pts94.2 pts101.7 pts
August 202796.6 pts92.9 pts100.5 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Not evaluated

The serving model has no matching evaluation yet.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.

Reading

It is above 20% of the 118 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 202697.5 pts
July 2026100.5 pts
June 202697.8 pts
May 202696.0 pts
April 202696.6 pts
March 202696.6 pts
February 202690.4 pts
January 202695.7 pts
December 202591.3 pts
November 202594.2 pts
October 2025102.4 pts
September 202596.9 pts
August 202598.6 pts
July 2025101.4 pts
June 202597.8 pts
May 202599.9 pts
April 202597.3 pts
March 202598.2 pts
February 202593.3 pts
January 202599.1 pts
December 202492.2 pts
November 202498.7 pts
October 2024104.0 pts
September 202498.7 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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