Mozambique Consumer Spending

Name: Mozambique Consumer Spending
Creator: Agentic Investor

Mozambique · Annual series · EC-MZ-CS

Latest, 2025

780.05B MZN

-3.6% from 2024

Open interactive chartMozambique Consumer Spending in the app

History through 2025, the forecast path to 2028 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2028: 812.23B MZN, with an 80% interval of 709.14B MZN to 917.86B MZN.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
Period	Forecast	80% low	80% high
2026	786.16B MZN	671.94B MZN	930.96B MZN
2027	798.22B MZN	731.08B MZN	876.22B MZN
2028	812.23B MZN	709.14B MZN	917.86B MZN

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 5 won)
Direction: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (14 of 15 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points: n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (2 turns in 5 tests, 3 without a turn)

Error vs baseline: 54% lowerError ratio 0.46; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won: 5 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period: 2011-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage: 87%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-12-01.
This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 78% of the 9 earlier readings since 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
Period	Value
2025	780.05B MZN
2024	809.01B MZN
2023	810.71B MZN
2022	743.01B MZN
2021	692.83B MZN
2020	654.72B MZN
2019	658.69B MZN
2018	622.15B MZN
2017	603.23B MZN
2016	599.99B MZN
2015	561.88B MZN
2014	552.49B MZN
2013	521.18B MZN
2012	488.34B MZN
2011	432.96B MZN
2010	412.56B MZN
2009	398.28B MZN
2008	375.07B MZN
2007	355.72B MZN
2006	330.21B MZN
2005	315.88B MZN
2004	295.06B MZN
2003	282.98B MZN
2002	268.12B MZN

Source

Data: public market data feeds.