AgenticInvestor

New Caledonia Exports

New Caledonia · Monthly series · EC-NC-EXP

Latest, August 2026

8.59B XPF

-35.8% from July 2026

Open interactive chartNew Caledonia Exports in the app

36.91B21.2B5.494BSeptember 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 12.67B XPF, with an 80% interval of 6.44B XPF to 21.91B XPF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202612.08B XPF6.08B XPF18.93B XPF
October 202612.19B XPF8.21B XPF16.81B XPF
November 202612.48B XPF6.41B XPF19.64B XPF
December 202612.46B XPF9.13B XPF16.61B XPF
January 202712.39B XPF7.09B XPF19.19B XPF
February 202712.39B XPF7.45B XPF18.94B XPF
March 202712.72B XPF8.23B XPF18.62B XPF
April 202712.74B XPF5.49B XPF22.58B XPF
May 202712.65B XPF7.58B XPF19.70B XPF
June 202712.70B XPF8.65B XPF18.39B XPF
July 202712.73B XPF6.99B XPF21.07B XPF
August 202712.67B XPF6.44B XPF21.91B XPF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+9%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
62%No clear edge over a coin flip (89 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
28 of 92Anticipated some turns (92 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
9% lowerError ratio 0.91; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 6% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 20268.59B XPF
July 202613.37B XPF
June 202614.23B XPF
May 202614.26B XPF
April 20269.06B XPF
March 202611.02B XPF
February 202610.84B XPF
January 202613.04B XPF
December 202512.62B XPF
November 202512.73B XPF
October 202512.57B XPF
September 202510.51B XPF
August 20257.92B XPF
July 202514.33B XPF
June 20258.98B XPF
May 202513.11B XPF
April 202512.04B XPF
March 20259.23B XPF
February 202511.20B XPF
January 20257.23B XPF
December 20248.90B XPF
November 20247.59B XPF
October 20249.34B XPF
September 20246.32B XPF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for New Caledonia