AgenticInvestor

Niger Crude Oil Production

Niger · Monthly series · EC-NE-COP

Latest, July 2026

105,000.0 pts

-0.9% from June 2026

Open interactive chartNiger Crude Oil Production in the app

116K64.48K13KAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 104,766.9 pts, with an 80% interval of 95,908.2 pts to 109,759.7 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 2026105,376.6 pts103,550.3 pts107,444.1 pts
September 2026105,218.2 pts103,596.6 pts107,191.8 pts
October 2026105,128.6 pts103,528.0 pts106,589.4 pts
November 2026105,038.7 pts103,393.6 pts106,332.9 pts
December 2026105,019.9 pts103,898.0 pts105,936.1 pts
January 2027104,924.1 pts90,146.2 pts115,968.1 pts
February 2027104,811.6 pts92,123.9 pts113,719.1 pts
March 2027104,656.8 pts94,248.8 pts112,069.0 pts
April 2027104,692.8 pts94,498.9 pts110,756.5 pts
May 2027104,677.8 pts95,321.1 pts110,137.8 pts
June 2027104,749.9 pts95,732.9 pts110,161.0 pts
July 2027104,766.9 pts95,908.2 pts109,759.7 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Weak evidence

The serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-12%Trails the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 3 won)
Direction
43%No clear edge over a coin flip (26 of 61 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (0 turns, 8 needed) (0 turns in 12 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
12% higherError ratio 1.12; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
3 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 90% of the 119 earlier readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 2026105,000.0 pts
June 2026106,000.0 pts
May 2026106,000.0 pts
April 2026106,000.0 pts
March 2026107,000.0 pts
February 2026107,000.0 pts
January 2026107,000.0 pts
December 2025108,000.0 pts
November 2025108,000.0 pts
October 2025108,000.0 pts
September 2025108,000.0 pts
August 2025108,000.0 pts
July 2025108,000.0 pts
June 2025103,000.0 pts
May 2025103,000.0 pts
April 202598,000.0 pts
March 202593,000.0 pts
February 202588,000.0 pts
January 202583,000.0 pts
December 202473,000.0 pts
November 202463,000.0 pts
October 202453,000.0 pts
September 202443,000.0 pts
August 202443,000.0 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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