AgenticInvestor

Nicaragua GDP From Construction

Nicaragua · Quarterly series · EC-NI-GDPC

Latest, Q2 2026

1.83B NIO

+21.8% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartNicaragua GDP From Construction in the app

3.932B2.077B222MQ1 2006Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 1.77B NIO, with an 80% interval of 886.78M NIO to 2.67B NIO.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20261.78B NIO1.62B NIO1.95B NIO
Q4 20262.06B NIO221.99M NIO3.93B NIO
Q1 20271.68B NIO1.25B NIO2.16B NIO
Q2 20271.77B NIO886.78M NIO2.67B NIO

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+1%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 5 won)
Direction
50%No clear edge over a coin flip (16 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
14 of 17Anticipated most turns (17 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
1% lowerError ratio 0.99; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20261.83B NIO
Q1 20261.50B NIO
Q4 20252.15B NIO
Q3 20251.61B NIO
Q2 20251.43B NIO
Q1 20251.33B NIO
Q4 20241.69B NIO
Q3 20241.26B NIO
Q2 20241.17B NIO
Q1 20241.20B NIO
Q4 20231.32B NIO
Q3 20231.13B NIO
Q2 20231.16B NIO
Q1 20231.04B NIO
Q4 20221.17B NIO
Q3 20221.02B NIO
Q2 20221.07B NIO
Q1 20221.05B NIO
Q4 20211.57B NIO
Q3 20211.22B NIO
Q2 20211.04B NIO
Q1 20211.07B NIO
Q4 20201.28B NIO
Q3 2020764.00M NIO

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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