AgenticInvestor

Nicaragua GDP From Services

Nicaragua · Quarterly series · EC-NI-GDPS

Latest, Q2 2026

8.16B NIO

-2.9% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartNicaragua GDP From Services in the app

8.988B5.996B3.004BQ1 2006Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 8.40B NIO, with an 80% interval of 7.77B NIO to 8.99B NIO.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20267.89B NIO7.43B NIO8.34B NIO
Q4 20268.33B NIO7.69B NIO8.98B NIO
Q1 20278.37B NIO7.80B NIO8.92B NIO
Q2 20278.40B NIO7.77B NIO8.99B NIO

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+12%Beats the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 4 won)
Direction
69%No clear edge over a coin flip (22 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
15 of 18Anticipated most turns (18 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
12% lowerError ratio 0.88; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
88%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20268.16B NIO
Q1 20268.41B NIO
Q4 20258.06B NIO
Q3 20257.47B NIO
Q2 20257.70B NIO
Q1 20257.26B NIO
Q4 20247.34B NIO
Q3 20246.71B NIO
Q2 20247.39B NIO
Q1 20247.12B NIO
Q4 20237.30B NIO
Q3 20236.80B NIO
Q2 20236.81B NIO
Q1 20236.64B NIO
Q4 20226.71B NIO
Q3 20226.20B NIO
Q2 20226.52B NIO
Q1 20226.29B NIO
Q4 20216.39B NIO
Q3 20215.82B NIO
Q2 20216.02B NIO
Q1 20215.74B NIO
Q4 20205.60B NIO
Q3 20204.92B NIO

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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