Oman Current Account
Oman · Annual series · EC-OM-CA
Latest, 2024
1.18B OMR
+26.1% from 2023
Forecast
Forecast for 2027: 858.13M OMR, with an 80% interval of -3.11B OMR to 3.59B OMR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.04B OMR | -1.41B OMR | 2.78B OMR |
| 2026 | 996.63M OMR | -2.34B OMR | 3.26B OMR |
| 2027 | 858.13M OMR | -3.11B OMR | 3.59B OMR |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 3 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (3 tests, 1 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (5 of 9 calls right in 3 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (3 tests, 6 needed) (5 turns in 3 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 54% higherError ratio 1.54; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 1 / 3Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2016-12-01 to 2024-12-013 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 89%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2024-12-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 89% of the 9 earlier readings since 2015.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2024 | 1.18B OMR |
| 2023 | 936.00M OMR |
| 2022 | 1.54B OMR |
| 2021 | -1.86B OMR |
| 2020 | -4.71B OMR |
| 2019 | -1.56B OMR |
| 2018 | -1.62B OMR |
| 2017 | -4.17B OMR |
| 2016 | -4.82B OMR |
| 2015 | -4.21B OMR |
| 2014 | 1.62B OMR |
| 2013 | 2.00B OMR |
| 2012 | 3.01B OMR |
| 2011 | 3.40B OMR |
| 2010 | 1.88B OMR |
| 2009 | -192.00M OMR |
| 2008 | 1.93B OMR |
| 2007 | 946.00M OMR |
| 2006 | 2.18B OMR |
| 2005 | 1.99B OMR |
| 2004 | 338.00M OMR |
| 2003 | 559.00M OMR |
| 2002 | 653.00M OMR |
| 2001 | 800.00M OMR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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