Oman Exports
Oman · Monthly series · EC-OM-EXP
Latest, July 2026
6.84B OMR
-0.7% from June 2026
Forecast
Forecast for July 2027: 6.41B OMR, with an 80% interval of 2.30B OMR to 11.25B OMR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | 6.79B OMR | 6.31B OMR | 7.33B OMR |
| September 2026 | 6.75B OMR | 6.00B OMR | 7.57B OMR |
| October 2026 | 6.72B OMR | 5.58B OMR | 7.94B OMR |
| November 2026 | 6.69B OMR | 5.20B OMR | 8.32B OMR |
| December 2026 | 6.66B OMR | 5.64B OMR | 7.77B OMR |
| January 2027 | 6.62B OMR | 4.96B OMR | 8.50B OMR |
| February 2027 | 6.58B OMR | 4.32B OMR | 9.12B OMR |
| March 2027 | 6.54B OMR | 4.18B OMR | 9.24B OMR |
| April 2027 | 6.50B OMR | 3.66B OMR | 9.83B OMR |
| May 2027 | 6.47B OMR | 1.86B OMR | 11.87B OMR |
| June 2027 | 6.44B OMR | 1.30B OMR | 12.52B OMR |
| July 2027 | 6.41B OMR | 2.30B OMR | 11.25B OMR |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +5%Matches the no-change baseline over 7 tests (7 tests, 5 won)
- Direction
- 71%No clear edge over a coin flip (60 of 84 calls right in 7 tests)
- Turning points
- 8 of 48Anticipated some turns (48 turns in 7 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 5% lowerError ratio 0.95; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 5 / 7Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2019-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-07-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 98% of the 119 earlier readings since August 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| July 2026 | 6.84B OMR |
| June 2026 | 6.88B OMR |
| May 2026 | 7.66B OMR |
| April 2026 | 6.01B OMR |
| March 2026 | 4.76B OMR |
| February 2026 | 4.37B OMR |
| January 2026 | 4.74B OMR |
| December 2025 | 5.20B OMR |
| November 2025 | 4.97B OMR |
| October 2025 | 5.74B OMR |
| September 2025 | 4.82B OMR |
| August 2025 | 4.76B OMR |
| July 2025 | 5.14B OMR |
| June 2025 | 4.85B OMR |
| May 2025 | 4.85B OMR |
| April 2025 | 5.02B OMR |
| March 2025 | 5.62B OMR |
| February 2025 | 4.46B OMR |
| January 2025 | 5.07B OMR |
| December 2024 | 5.29B OMR |
| November 2024 | 5.13B OMR |
| October 2024 | 5.57B OMR |
| September 2024 | 5.15B OMR |
| August 2024 | 5.43B OMR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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