Oman Money Supply M2
Oman · Monthly series · EC-OM-M2
Latest, July 2025
25.45B OMR
+0.2% from June 2025
Forecast
Forecast for July 2026: 26.53B OMR, with an 80% interval of 25.08B OMR to 28.02B OMR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 2025 | 25.54B OMR | 25.13B OMR | 25.97B OMR |
| September 2025 | 25.60B OMR | 25.06B OMR | 26.20B OMR |
| October 2025 | 25.70B OMR | 25.15B OMR | 26.30B OMR |
| November 2025 | 25.81B OMR | 25.09B OMR | 26.56B OMR |
| December 2025 | 26.00B OMR | 25.25B OMR | 26.82B OMR |
| January 2026 | 26.10B OMR | 25.65B OMR | 26.59B OMR |
| February 2026 | 26.25B OMR | 25.71B OMR | 26.82B OMR |
| March 2026 | 26.43B OMR | 25.47B OMR | 27.44B OMR |
| April 2026 | 26.43B OMR | 25.64B OMR | 27.27B OMR |
| May 2026 | 26.52B OMR | 25.14B OMR | 27.98B OMR |
| June 2026 | 26.60B OMR | 25.46B OMR | 27.78B OMR |
| July 2026 | 26.53B OMR | 25.08B OMR | 28.02B OMR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +39%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 10 won)
- Direction
- 89%Beats a coin flip (128 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 5 of 52Anticipated some turns (52 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 39% lowerError ratio 0.61; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 10 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2013-08-01 to 2025-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2025-07-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since August 2015.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| July 2025 | 25.45B OMR |
| June 2025 | 25.41B OMR |
| May 2025 | 25.38B OMR |
| April 2025 | 25.37B OMR |
| March 2025 | 25.48B OMR |
| February 2025 | 25.09B OMR |
| January 2025 | 25.06B OMR |
| December 2024 | 24.87B OMR |
| November 2024 | 24.83B OMR |
| October 2024 | 24.81B OMR |
| September 2024 | 24.69B OMR |
| August 2024 | 24.36B OMR |
| July 2024 | 24.20B OMR |
| June 2024 | 24.06B OMR |
| May 2024 | 23.73B OMR |
| April 2024 | 23.59B OMR |
| March 2024 | 24.24B OMR |
| February 2024 | 23.94B OMR |
| January 2024 | 23.38B OMR |
| December 2023 | 23.00B OMR |
| November 2023 | 22.37B OMR |
| October 2023 | 22.04B OMR |
| September 2023 | 21.68B OMR |
| August 2023 | 21.67B OMR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Oman Money Supply M2 in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators