Philippines Money Supply M0
Philippines · Monthly series · EC-PH-M0
Latest, September 2026
2.38T PHP
+0.2% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 2.53T PHP, with an 80% interval of 2.36T PHP to 2.70T PHP.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2.44T PHP | 2.40T PHP | 2.47T PHP |
| November 2026 | 2.46T PHP | 2.41T PHP | 2.52T PHP |
| December 2026 | 2.61T PHP | 2.57T PHP | 2.66T PHP |
| January 2027 | 2.50T PHP | 2.48T PHP | 2.53T PHP |
| February 2027 | 2.51T PHP | 2.48T PHP | 2.54T PHP |
| March 2027 | 2.54T PHP | 2.48T PHP | 2.62T PHP |
| April 2027 | 2.58T PHP | 2.50T PHP | 2.67T PHP |
| May 2027 | 2.57T PHP | 2.47T PHP | 2.67T PHP |
| June 2027 | 2.53T PHP | 2.41T PHP | 2.66T PHP |
| July 2027 | 2.51T PHP | 2.37T PHP | 2.66T PHP |
| August 2027 | 2.51T PHP | 2.37T PHP | 2.65T PHP |
| September 2027 | 2.53T PHP | 2.36T PHP | 2.70T PHP |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +67%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 100%Beats a coin flip (144 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 48 of 55Anticipated most turns (55 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 67% lowerError ratio 0.33; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.38T PHP |
| August 2026 | 2.38T PHP |
| July 2026 | 2.37T PHP |
| June 2026 | 2.38T PHP |
| May 2026 | 2.44T PHP |
| April 2026 | 2.44T PHP |
| March 2026 | 2.43T PHP |
| February 2026 | 2.36T PHP |
| January 2026 | 2.37T PHP |
| December 2025 | 2.52T PHP |
| November 2025 | 2.34T PHP |
| October 2025 | 2.30T PHP |
| September 2025 | 2.25T PHP |
| August 2025 | 2.22T PHP |
| July 2025 | 2.23T PHP |
| June 2025 | 2.24T PHP |
| May 2025 | 2.30T PHP |
| April 2025 | 2.35T PHP |
| March 2025 | 2.29T PHP |
| February 2025 | 2.23T PHP |
| January 2025 | 2.22T PHP |
| December 2024 | 2.37T PHP |
| November 2024 | 2.17T PHP |
| October 2024 | 2.11T PHP |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Philippines
- Philippines Balance Of Trade
- Philippines Bank Lending Rate
- Philippines Banks Balance Sheet
- Philippines Building Permits
- Philippines Business Confidence Index
- Philippines CO2 Emissions
- Philippines CPI Housing Utilities
- Philippines CPI Transportation
- Philippines Capacity Utilization
- Philippines Capital Flows
- Philippines Car Registrations
- Philippines Cash Reserve Ratio