Philippines Unemployed Persons
Philippines · Monthly series · EC-PH-UP
Latest, September 2026
2,864,650.0 pts
+3.4% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 3,147,977.5 pts, with an 80% interval of 2,370,268.0 pts to 3,897,155.5 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2,860,268.0 pts | 2,458,300.0 pts | 3,265,311.2 pts |
| November 2026 | 2,871,569.2 pts | 2,454,565.0 pts | 3,295,926.0 pts |
| December 2026 | 2,900,112.2 pts | 2,457,435.0 pts | 3,354,442.5 pts |
| January 2027 | 2,991,103.5 pts | 2,500,870.5 pts | 3,466,620.8 pts |
| February 2027 | 2,984,391.2 pts | 2,477,265.8 pts | 3,474,538.2 pts |
| March 2027 | 2,993,845.0 pts | 2,457,053.8 pts | 3,528,632.5 pts |
| April 2027 | 3,034,550.5 pts | 2,454,890.8 pts | 3,577,807.8 pts |
| May 2027 | 3,049,066.0 pts | 2,436,919.0 pts | 3,645,725.5 pts |
| June 2027 | 3,074,324.5 pts | 2,396,198.0 pts | 3,721,951.5 pts |
| July 2027 | 3,139,071.0 pts | 2,427,186.8 pts | 3,827,690.2 pts |
| August 2027 | 3,137,244.5 pts | 2,399,300.0 pts | 3,852,839.8 pts |
| September 2027 | 3,147,977.5 pts | 2,370,268.0 pts | 3,897,155.5 pts |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 82% of the 55 earlier readings since December 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2,864,650.0 pts |
| August 2026 | 2,769,320.0 pts |
| July 2026 | 3,143,880.0 pts |
| June 2026 | 2,587,680.0 pts |
| May 2026 | 2,498,310.0 pts |
| April 2026 | 2,414,150.0 pts |
| March 2026 | 2,576,790.0 pts |
| February 2026 | 2,660,660.0 pts |
| January 2026 | 2,955,010.0 pts |
| December 2025 | 2,259,520.0 pts |
| November 2025 | 2,252,330.0 pts |
| October 2025 | 2,542,070.0 pts |
| September 2025 | 1,955,790.0 pts |
| August 2025 | 2,033,500.0 pts |
| July 2025 | 2,593,410.0 pts |
| June 2025 | 1,949,020.0 pts |
| May 2025 | 2,034,780.0 pts |
| April 2025 | 2,063,650.0 pts |
| March 2025 | 1,931,490.0 pts |
| February 2025 | 1,936,950.0 pts |
| January 2025 | 2,164,800.0 pts |
| December 2024 | 1,629,010.0 pts |
| November 2024 | 1,662,710.0 pts |
| October 2024 | 1,965,650.0 pts |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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