AgenticInvestor

Pakistan Crude Oil Production

Pakistan · Monthly series · EC-PK-COP

Latest, July 2026

53,262.9 pts

-3.3% from June 2026

Open interactive chartPakistan Crude Oil Production in the app

97K71.13K45.26KAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 52,771.0 pts, with an 80% interval of 45,255.1 pts to 61,357.0 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 202653,287.8 pts51,439.8 pts55,283.8 pts
September 202653,262.4 pts49,442.7 pts57,384.3 pts
October 202653,358.2 pts48,367.2 pts59,044.4 pts
November 202653,649.4 pts49,722.9 pts58,457.6 pts
December 202653,737.7 pts49,791.2 pts58,731.7 pts
January 202754,181.7 pts47,658.4 pts62,223.4 pts
February 202754,369.5 pts49,926.3 pts60,005.5 pts
March 202753,998.5 pts49,942.7 pts58,987.2 pts
April 202753,666.7 pts49,159.3 pts59,117.1 pts
May 202753,273.6 pts45,342.9 pts62,642.4 pts
June 202753,129.5 pts46,421.8 pts60,970.7 pts
July 202752,771.0 pts45,255.1 pts61,357.0 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-1%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
64%No clear edge over a coin flip (86 of 135 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
22 of 62Anticipated some turns (62 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
1% higherError ratio 1.01; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 120 readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 202653,262.9 pts
June 202655,093.4 pts
May 202653,369.6 pts
April 202655,203.8 pts
March 202653,476.5 pts
February 202659,265.3 pts
January 202653,583.6 pts
December 202553,637.2 pts
November 202555,591.9 pts
October 202553,960.5 pts
September 202555,927.0 pts
August 202554,285.7 pts
July 202554,449.1 pts
June 202556,433.3 pts
May 202556,612.9 pts
April 202559,353.3 pts
March 202562,487.1 pts
February 202562,232.1 pts
January 202565,580.6 pts
December 202463,264.5 pts
November 202463,215.5 pts
October 202463,871.1 pts
September 202464,600.0 pts
August 202462,290.3 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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