Palestine Foreign Direct Investment
Palestine · Quarterly series · EC-PS-FDI
Latest, Q2 2026
3.86B USD
+1.0% from Q1 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q2 2027: 3.88B USD, with an 80% interval of 3.56B USD to 4.20B USD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.85B USD | 3.44B USD | 4.20B USD |
| Q4 2026 | 3.86B USD | 3.61B USD | 4.09B USD |
| Q1 2027 | 3.87B USD | 3.51B USD | 4.22B USD |
| Q2 2027 | 3.88B USD | 3.56B USD | 4.20B USD |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 4 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (4 tests, 2 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (7 of 16 calls right in 4 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (4 tests, 6 needed) (6 turns in 4 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 3% lowerError ratio 0.97; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 2 / 4Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2022-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 75%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-06-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 40 readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.86B USD |
| Q1 2026 | 3.82B USD |
| Q4 2025 | 3.77B USD |
| Q3 2025 | 3.49B USD |
| Q2 2025 | 3.68B USD |
| Q1 2025 | 3.33B USD |
| Q4 2024 | 3.30B USD |
| Q3 2024 | 3.30B USD |
| Q2 2024 | 3.26B USD |
| Q1 2024 | 3.14B USD |
| Q4 2023 | 3.19B USD |
| Q3 2023 | 3.19B USD |
| Q2 2023 | 3.23B USD |
| Q1 2023 | 3.39B USD |
| Q4 2022 | 3.12B USD |
| Q3 2022 | 3.00B USD |
| Q2 2022 | 3.14B USD |
| Q1 2022 | 3.04B USD |
| Q4 2021 | 2.98B USD |
| Q3 2021 | 2.89B USD |
| Q2 2021 | 2.84B USD |
| Q1 2021 | 2.74B USD |
| Q4 2020 | 2.72B USD |
| Q3 2020 | 2.76B USD |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Palestine Foreign Direct Investment in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Palestine
- Palestine Balance Of Trade
- Palestine Building Permits
- Palestine CPI Transportation
- Palestine Consumer Price Index
- Palestine Corruption Index
- Palestine Corruption Rank
- Palestine Current Account
- Palestine Current Account To GDP
- Palestine Exports
- Palestine Food Inflation YoY
- Palestine Full Time Employment
- Palestine GDP