Portugal Job Vacancy Rate

Portugal · Quarterly series · EC-PT-JVR

Latest, Q1 2026

1.6%

+0.20pp from Q4 2025

Open interactive chartPortugal Job Vacancy Rate in the app

2.3021.3010.3Q1 2001Q1 2027
History through Q1 2026, the forecast path to Q1 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q1 2027: 1.6%, with an 80% interval of 0.8% to 2.3%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q2 20261.6%1.2%1.9%
Q3 20261.6%1.1%2.0%
Q4 20261.6%1.2%1.9%
Q1 20271.6%0.8%2.3%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 39 earlier readings since Q2 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q1 20261.6%
Q4 20251.4%
Q3 20251.4%
Q2 20251.4%
Q1 20251.4%
Q4 20241.3%
Q3 20241.4%
Q2 20241.4%
Q1 20241.2%
Q4 20231.3%
Q3 20231.4%
Q2 20231.5%
Q1 20231.3%
Q4 20221.5%
Q3 20221.7%
Q2 20221.4%
Q1 20221.3%
Q4 20211.0%
Q3 20211.2%
Q2 20211.0%
Q1 20210.8%
Q4 20200.7%
Q3 20200.7%
Q2 20200.7%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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