AgenticInvestor

Paraguay Interest Rate

Paraguay · Monthly series · EC-PY-INTR

Latest, October 2026

5.5%

+0.00pp from September 2026

Open interactive chartParaguay Interest Rate in the app

10.343.938-2.466November 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 5.5%, with an 80% interval of -1.8% to 10.3%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20265.5%5.5%5.5%
December 20265.5%5.5%5.5%
January 20275.5%5.1%5.6%
February 20275.5%4.8%5.9%
March 20275.5%4.1%6.0%
April 20275.5%3.7%6.3%
May 20275.5%3.2%6.7%
June 20275.5%3.1%6.8%
July 20275.5%1.8%7.7%
August 20275.5%-2.5%10.3%
September 20275.5%-2.3%10.3%
October 20275.5%-1.8%10.3%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+22%Beats the no-change baseline over 11 tests (11 tests, 2 won)
Direction
46%No clear edge over a coin flip (31 of 68 calls right in 9 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (1 turn, 8 needed) (1 turn in 11 tests, 2 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
22% lowerError ratio 0.78; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
2 / 11Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2015-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 45% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20265.5%
September 20265.5%
August 20265.5%
July 20265.5%
June 20265.5%
May 20265.5%
April 20265.5%
March 20265.5%
February 20265.5%
January 20265.8%
December 20256.0%
November 20256.0%
October 20256.0%
September 20256.0%
August 20256.0%
July 20256.0%
June 20256.0%
May 20256.0%
April 20256.0%
March 20256.0%
February 20256.0%
January 20256.0%
December 20246.0%
November 20246.0%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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