Paraguay Money Supply M3

Paraguay · Monthly series · EC-PY-M3

Latest, September 2026

173.39T PYG

-0.2% from August 2026

Open interactive chartParaguay Money Supply M3 in the app

200.9T135.4T69.94TOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 183.71T PYG, with an 80% interval of 166.26T PYG to 200.88T PYG.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026174.26T PYG172.27T PYG176.30T PYG
November 2026174.72T PYG171.10T PYG178.48T PYG
December 2026178.06T PYG174.52T PYG181.80T PYG
January 2027177.28T PYG172.90T PYG181.59T PYG
February 2027178.13T PYG172.22T PYG183.94T PYG
March 2027179.61T PYG168.39T PYG190.52T PYG
April 2027180.65T PYG170.98T PYG190.17T PYG
May 2027180.82T PYG171.18T PYG190.23T PYG
June 2027182.01T PYG172.24T PYG191.75T PYG
July 2027182.29T PYG170.95T PYG193.41T PYG
August 2027183.88T PYG167.54T PYG199.69T PYG
September 2027183.71T PYG166.26T PYG200.88T PYG

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+49%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 10 won)
Direction
92%Beats a coin flip (132 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
30 of 53Anticipated most turns (53 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
49% lowerError ratio 0.51; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
10 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026173.39T PYG
August 2026173.67T PYG
July 2026171.16T PYG
June 2026169.17T PYG
May 2026166.35T PYG
April 2026164.60T PYG
March 2026169.27T PYG
February 2026165.57T PYG
January 2026163.25T PYG
December 2025162.64T PYG
November 2025161.38T PYG
October 2025160.63T PYG
September 2025158.78T PYG
August 2025161.93T PYG
July 2025159.76T PYG
June 2025159.77T PYG
May 2025160.18T PYG
April 2025160.62T PYG
March 2025159.73T PYG
February 2025157.29T PYG
January 2025154.28T PYG
December 2024154.42T PYG
November 2024149.46T PYG
October 2024149.24T PYG

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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