Qatar Government Budget Value
Qatar · Quarterly series · EC-QA-GBV
Latest, Q2 2026
-21.24M QAR
-10.94M QAR from Q1 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 31% of the 26 earlier readings since Q4 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -21.24M QAR |
| Q1 2026 | -10.30M QAR |
| Q4 2025 | -5.30B QAR |
| Q3 2025 | -373.30M QAR |
| Q2 2025 | -757.00M QAR |
| Q1 2025 | -529.00M QAR |
| Q4 2024 | 900.00M QAR |
| Q3 2024 | 100.00M QAR |
| Q2 2024 | 2.60B QAR |
| Q1 2024 | 2.06B QAR |
| Q4 2023 | 1.40B QAR |
| Q3 2023 | 12.00B QAR |
| Q2 2023 | 10.00B QAR |
| Q1 2023 | 19.70B QAR |
| Q4 2022 | 11.60B QAR |
| Q3 2022 | 30.10B QAR |
| Q2 2022 | 33.70B QAR |
| Q1 2022 | 13.60B QAR |
| Q4 2021 | -3.30B QAR |
| Q3 2021 | 900.00M QAR |
| Q2 2021 | 3.80B QAR |
| Q1 2021 | 200.00M QAR |
| Q4 2020 | -10.48B QAR |
| Q4 2019 | 7.01B QAR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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