Romania Consumer Confidence Index

Romania · Monthly series · EC-RO-CCI

Latest, October 2026

-33.2%

-0.70pp from September 2026

Open interactive chartRomania Consumer Confidence Index in the app

-1.2-22.61-44.01August 2012October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: -32.4%, with an 80% interval of -44.0% to -10.0%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026-32.7%-34.6%-29.9%
December 2026-32.7%-35.1%-29.4%
January 2027-32.7%-35.3%-28.4%
February 2027-32.6%-35.6%-27.3%
March 2027-32.6%-35.9%-25.7%
April 2027-32.6%-37.0%-24.1%
May 2027-32.6%-37.7%-21.8%
June 2027-32.6%-39.2%-19.6%
July 2027-32.5%-40.2%-16.8%
August 2027-32.4%-40.8%-14.5%
September 2027-32.4%-42.0%-11.6%
October 2027-32.4%-44.0%-10.0%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Not evaluated

The serving model has no matching evaluation yet.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.

Reading

It is above 4% of the 68 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026-33.2%
September 2026-32.5%
August 2026-32.6%
July 2026-30.1%
June 2026-34.5%
May 2026-32.2%
April 2026-34.9%
March 2026-32.2%
February 2026-31.5%
January 2026-34.5%
December 2025-30.9%
November 2025-29.7%
October 2025-30.5%
September 2025-31.3%
August 2025-31.5%
July 2025-31.5%
June 2025-25.1%
May 2025-15.5%
April 2025-18.0%
March 2025-17.3%
February 2025-17.0%
January 2025-20.3%
December 2024-11.6%
November 2024-9.0%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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